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Half the World will use a Mobile Phone by 2009

  • World Top 25 Mobile Growth Markets - ranking list released today reveals a few surprises, US offers more room for growth than Russia, and Japan offers greater future growth than South Africa.
  • The number of mobile subscribers worldwide reached over 2 billion by the end of 2005, and is predicted to rise to 3.96 billion by 2011.
  • The Asia Pacific Region will account for 50% of the total number of subscribers worldwide by the end of this decade with a staggering 1.067 billion subscribers shared between China and India alone, the world’s two biggest mobile markets.

A new market study from Portio Research predicts that 50% of the world’s population will be using a mobile phone by the end of 2009, and Africa now boasts the fastest growth rate in the world, forecast to add 265 million new mobile subscribers over the next 6 years. The report, ‘Worldwide Mobile Market Forecasts 2006 – 2011’ provides a comprehensive analysis of worldwide mobile markets, growth forecasts and network operator market shares.

Among the top 25 growth markets ranking list (2006-2011) there are a few surprises. India wins the top spot, just ahead of China, and almost equally in 3rd place are Brazil, Indonesia and Nigeria, but the real surprises start in 6th place with the US mobile market tipped to grow by almost 66 million net additions from the start of 2006 to the end of 2011. This puts volume growth in the US ahead of fast developing markets such as Pakistan, Mexico and the Ukraine. Russia is positioned lower than some may expect, in 11th place, below Iran and Bangladesh, while Japan appears in 18th place, with a predicted 14 million net subscriber additions by 2011, surprisingly placing above South Africa and Venezuela.

‘Worldwide Mobile Market Forecasts 2006 – 2011’ also provides a Worldwide 3G summary with a snapshot of the progress of 3G adoption across the world to date and predictions for future growth. While Western Europe and the US will see 50%+ subscriber penetration of 3G by 2011, the Asia Pacific region will see only 35%, albeit with 1.06 billion subscribers by 2011, making this the largest regional 3G market in the world.

‘Worldwide Mobile Market Forecasts 2006 – 2011’ is a substantial piece of research spanning over 480 pages to provide an overview of the world’s major regions plus detailed analysis of 55 individual key country markets. Each country section includes a mobile market overview with discussions on subscriber growth and penetration and takes a look at the competitive landscape highlighting any recent developments. In addition the report considers current mobile technology status, assesses the growth of 3G, discusses value-added service provision (VAS) and mobile messaging. Full contact details of each country’s mobile network operators are also provided.

Worldwide Mobile Market Forecasts 2006-2011

For reader enquiries, further information or to purchase a copy of this report please send an e-mail to: info@portioresearch.com or phone: +44 (0)7909 957360

For editorial enquiries please contact: William Allbrook Tel: 01666 826641, Fax:01666 822594, Email: william@market-it.co.uk

Portio Research Ltd is an independent UK-based research company, specialising in the mobile and wireless sector. Portio is focused on providing high quality, data-centric reports based on hard facts and proven numbers, rather than hype and speculation. www.portioresearch.com

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